Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 56.785678 64.802800 73.033229 82.079621 91.710316 101.625856 112.575750
2026-01-18 44.002075 55.342469 67.562084 81.562902 97.026490 113.463740 132.141106
2026-01-25 36.880526 50.026344 64.714329 82.041982 101.654543 122.929290 147.528429
2026-02-01 30.792618 45.007880 61.451854 81.373097 104.408246 129.826784 159.640127
2026-02-08 26.246368 41.218629 59.107891 81.297500 107.429548 136.678816 171.385951
2026-02-15 22.070888 37.399471 56.333222 80.368317 109.169416 141.833082 181.001636
2026-02-22 19.474339 35.307110 55.432377 81.473761 113.116797 149.376034 193.210519
2026-03-01 17.392773 33.668364 54.923431 82.909146 117.336837 157.142604 205.600418
2026-03-08 14.644955 30.802479 52.616042 81.932858 118.513382 161.238965 213.655600
2026-03-15 12.015063 27.794463 49.894505 80.247679 118.676934 164.021683 220.080398
2026-03-22 11.341595 27.680052 51.026515 83.459811 124.831593 173.901282 234.799072
2026-03-29 10.266928 26.808394 51.035364 85.154795 129.062866 181.454730 246.765048
2026-04-05 8.628532 24.838093 49.410912 84.659442 130.550479 185.737665 254.926901
2026-04-12 7.195358 23.018215 47.878510 84.197636 132.018899 189.958262 262.991773
2026-04-19 6.166786 21.773718 47.094498 84.673549 134.625998 195.523829 272.628663
2026-04-26 5.011543 20.087275 45.529409 83.995019 135.688117 199.153192 279.911543
2026-05-03 4.126976 18.778652 44.448589 83.917713 137.477008 203.639977 288.197749
2026-05-10 3.211536 17.188471 42.808529 82.972199 138.072750 206.607071 294.614827
2026-05-17 2.743920 16.544540 42.646937 84.097131 141.368459 212.916994 305.075886
2026-05-24 2.377079 16.073436 42.734253 85.557662 145.095098 219.758717 316.182805
2026-05-31 1.748881 14.685321 41.178964 84.564293 145.508144 222.415298 322.162802
2026-06-07 1.163458 13.123593 39.193615 82.849415 144.889534 223.726028 326.458555
2026-06-14 1.124679 13.425977 40.539775 86.117920 151.017174 233.582925 341.259531